Some data on west of campus crime trends, relevant to budget crisis

President Schill has decided to protect the UOPD from his budget cuts, arguing that as the Eugene PD tries to clean up downtown the “bad actors” are moving closer to campus and our students need protection. But the data (limited) shows a 21% decrease in reported incidents since 2016. If you start in 2016 there is no clear trend for serious crime reports. If you start in 2017 they have also decreased, by 38%.

From: Senate President [mailto:senatepres@uoregon.edu
Sent: Wednesday, March 20, 2019 10:11 PM
To: Mike H Schill <mschill@uoregon.edu>; Matthew Carmichael <mecarmic@uoregon.edu>
Subject: crime wave data
 
Dear President Schill and Chief Carmichael – 
 
Having now heard several administrators repeat President Schill’s statements about a west campus crime wave, I started to wonder if there was any actual data on this. 
 
As it happens the EPD website allows for rudimentary searches of their dispatch log, at http://coeapps.eugene-or.gov/EPDDispatchLog/Search
 
Because the EPD webpage requires a street name, I focused on incidents with an address that included E 13th Ave, since this seems to be where the “bad actors” like to hang out. I searched for incidents reported from January 1 to March 19th for the years 2016 – 2019. The files are attached. They include everything from the trivial on up, so in addition to total incidents I looked for thefts and assaults. I found:
 
2016: 190 incidents, 11 thefts, 4 assaults
2017: 198 incidents, 11 thefts, 11 assaults
2018: 163 incidents, 11 thefts, 5 assaults
2019: 149 incidents, 15 thefts, 0 assaults
 
Obviously these data are limited, but they don’t seem consistent with a crime wave. If you have any additional data regarding trends in west campus crime I’d appreciate it if you’d share that with me.  
 
Thanks,
 
Bill Harbaugh
UO Senate Pres, Econ Prof

Chief Carmichael’s response is posted on the Senate website. He does not dispute the data above showing what could arguably be called a decrease. He does not provide any time-series data at all. This is weird, because this sort of data analysis has been the hallmark of good policing since maps with pins, and then the 1990’s CompStat.

Winner! Free U of Nike coffee cup for guessing the cost of UOPD’s Go Ducks paint-job

Update: Chief Carmichael reported the cost as $3533.41. So the winner is longtime commenter “Fishwrapper” at $3768.79, runner up is Amy Adams at $3137. Congrats to you both, please contact our swag office with a mailing address, or if you prefer the location of a dead-drop site far from security cameras.

For the record it’s not actually paint, it’s some sort of peel off vinyl. Better than what once covered the roof of my 74 El Camino, I hope.

Update: UOPD Chief Matt Carmichael just called in to the UO M hotline with the answer, to the penny. I want to thank him for

a) Fixing the famously problematic UO police department, and in short order too.

b) Offering to explain why they pimped out their ride, and then just laughing and giving me the cost when I told him “thanks, I’ve already heard enough crap today”.

I don’t think I’m giving too much away by saying the cost (x100 to get rid of the decimal) is a prime number. Feel free to revise and resubmit your guesses. I’ll keep the contest open until Noon tomorrow. Sorry Matt you’re not eligible, and couldn’t they have thrown in some hubcaps?

9/26/2017: Submit your entries as pseudonymous comments. The winner will be whoever is closest to the number given by UOPD spokesperson Kelly McIver:

Hi Kelly, I’m writing as UO Matters guy, wondering if you can tell me how much the paint job for this truck cost: http://uomatters.com/2017/09/bloated-uo-police-department-has-money-to-burn.html

Thanks, Bill Harbaugh

UO Employees with BANNER access or inside knowledge not eligible to win.

9/21/2017: UO Police Department’s bloated budget has money to burn on Duck crap.

Thanks to Dog for the evidence: