The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, another key COVID-19 forecaster in the Pacific Northwest says the number of infections in Oregon likely peaked Jan. 11. It forecasts that hospitalizations will top out on Feb. 1. Daily deaths would start declining on Feb. 4.
From Gary Warner at the Oregon Capital Bureau here.
well then the UO policy was obviously brilliant (as long as you
were not personally affected by the peak …)
Wonderful news, the death rate will only soar for another two weeks. Meanwhile, UO continues to stonewall on matters that to many of us involve mortal risk. They are stonewalling faculty, staff, GTFF, and even some undergraduates. Schill and Phillips, if any of your die because you would not let them go remote, it’s on you!
Riding my bike to work is more mortal risk these days than teaching in person.
right, dude, only 397 reported covid deaths in Lane County over the past two years, far less than from bike riding. Your rational perspective is much appreciated. I only wish you would stop being so heedless of your own safety.
https://stacker.com/oregon/counties-highest-covid-19-death-rate-oregon
lists death per county in Oregon; Lane county has a low death rate compared to other counties in Oregon; presumably this is driven mostly by demographics
I know a law professor who died riding his bike. And I have a colleague that had a concussion and long bike concussion brain fog from it.
If you like at my age bracket and risk profile, my main risk of death is heart disease, followed by cancer, followed by suicide, followed by traffic accidents. I’m triple vaccinated, and now two of my kids have Omicron (positive tests from their weekly voluntary school Covid screenings), so I probably got natural boosting and am teaching remote this week (no symptoms on my end).
Being rational about risks is not being heedless of risks. I’m not going to crowded bars etc., but I want to do my job and help inspire students, especially because I’ve had a couple of talented grad students drop out of a program because of depression and isolation.
If I was 70 or 80, maybe I’d feel different, but I’m not, and shouldn’t pretend that I am.
another thing — on the covid tracker, for this week they are showing 8 students and 13 staff! Let’s hope that proportion doesn’t persist when they report the 1000 or whatever total cases Monday night or whenever they get around to it.
If there are hundreds or even many dozens of staff infected in the latest week, I’m out of my class, whether they like it or not.
Their lack of communication is infuriating. Is there a mass infection of staff, or is this just their crazy stats collecting? I dunno. Are they trying to goad us into a mass spontaneous walkout? It almost seems like they are trying to give us the old F U. Where did they learn this stuff, from Trump?
I’ll happily walk this back if their stats indicate my suspicions are incorrect. But meanwhile, I do not feel at all good about going into that crappy hall next week for another draught of covid.
It was the same last week. For some unfathomable reason they are reporting (low) work-related cases daily, but withholding general student numbers until Monday. As Corporal Jones would say, “Don’t Panic!”
It’s the first fundamental theorem of bad science: don’t show anyone the data.
Didn’t someone here already make fun of the digital humanities? Lay off already!
The #’s are not being posted daily anymore: “This dashboard is updated every Monday or the first business day of the week.”
1/17-1/23: 377