10/2/2019: Anna Matson has the story in the Emerald here. If you can see an increase that justifies President Schill’s decision to exempt the UOPD from the budget crisis cuts you’re a more creative econometrician than I am:
4/15/2019: Some data on west of campus crime trends, relevant to budget crisis
President Schill has decided to protect the UOPD from his budget cuts, arguing that as the Eugene PD tries to clean up downtown the “bad actors” are moving closer to campus and our students need protection. But the data (limited) shows a 21% decrease in reported incidents since 2016. If you start in 2016 there is no clear trend for serious crime reports. If you start in 2017 they have also decreased, by 38%.
From: Senate President [mailto:[email protected]]
Sent: Wednesday, March 20, 2019 10:11 PM
To: Mike H Schill <[email protected]>; Matthew Carmichael <[email protected]>
Subject: crime wave data
Dear President Schill and Chief Carmichael –
Having now heard several administrators repeat President Schill’s statements about a west campus crime wave, I started to wonder if there was any actual data on this.
As it happens the EPD website allows for rudimentary searches of their dispatch log, at http://coeapps.eugene-or.gov/EPDDispatchLog/Search
Because the EPD webpage requires a street name, I focused on incidents with an address that included E 13th Ave, since this seems to be where the “bad actors” like to hang out. I searched for incidents reported from January 1 to March 19th for the years 2016 – 2019. The files are attached. They include everything from the trivial on up, so in addition to total incidents I looked for thefts and assaults. I found:
2016: 190 incidents, 11 thefts, 4 assaults
2017: 198 incidents, 11 thefts, 11 assaults
2018: 163 incidents, 11 thefts, 5 assaults
2019: 149 incidents, 15 thefts, 0 assaults
Obviously these data are limited, but they don’t seem consistent with a crime wave. If you have any additional data regarding trends in west campus crime I’d appreciate it if you’d share that with me.
UO Senate Pres, Econ Prof
Chief Carmichael’s response is posted on the Senate website. He does not dispute the data above showing what could arguably be called a decrease. He does not provide any time-series data at all. This is weird, because this sort of data analysis has been the hallmark of good policing since maps with pins, and then the 1990’s CompStat.
I remember the UO Senate being told in 2012 by provost and Public Safety that this new PD was going to save us BAGS of money each year. How’s that been working out, I wonder?
I bet they pay more annually in SUV maintenance and gas, while idling out by the river and other prime secluded off campus spots, than what was paid to the EPD. This of course pales in comparison to the actual SUV, gun, and bullet (Barney Fife) budget.
Yes I tend to see UOPD consistently outside their area of operation given that they are a campus pd. I’m sure the chief et al., will justify their expansive reach somehow (crime wave!!), but ultimately, they’re just upping their stats to make them seem more relevant.
University police departments typically have jurisdiction not only of university property, but in adjoining neighborhoods, and in areas where students tend to frequent. It’s not a novel concept.
All that I ever saw as a result was a bowl. Not a bag.
And not of money.
prorated for the year
the 2019 theft data would predict about 45
and that is way high
Dog: “I searched for incidents reported from January 1 to March 19th for the years 2016 – 2019.”
gee I made a mistake
Ah, don’ we just need to Build a Big Wall at the West of Campus
to keep all those “bad actors” out.
Some of the difference between 2018 and 2019 might come from the week of snow we had in 2019. If you exclude that week, the incidence rate are quite similar.
Why begrudge UOPD or athletics being immune to campus wide budget cuts? Instead, why no post about Schill announcement that he’ll be accepting a 3% cut in his salary as a sign of shared sacrifice?
To quote (or possibly mis-quote) Dog, “yeah, that’ll happen”….
I don’t see anyone with measles around here, so let’s not vaccinate anymore! (Same logic as displayed here)
How many ride alongs you ever go on Bill? I’m sure that bubble from your office to the faculty club, and back to your house isn’t really a crime ridden journey. Maybe you should try seeing what’s lurking around 16th and Mill at 2 a.m. before you make such educated statements
I am pretty sure that there is no police practice that could possibly have less impact on crime rates than inviting professors to go for ride-alongs.
What these ride-alongs do is build people’s understanding of the difficult job that police have, and give the police a chance to lobby for a bigger budget. I am very sympathetic of the difficult job that police have and I understand that a bigger budget will make it easier. But other people at UO also have difficult jobs, and when they want a bigger budget, they have to – or should have to – use data to argue for it, not scare stories.
The police practice that has apparently reduced crime is data-driven policing, such as NYC’s CompStat. So I was very surprised to see from Chief Carmichael’s report to the Senate that there’s no evidence he has adopted this well established practice. And no evidence that President Schill asked Carmichael for data, before deciding to protect the UOPD budget from the cuts that other OAs and staff are facing.
Fortunately, west campus crime rates seem to be falling anyway.
buts its obvious
as we have increased the UOPD budget, their presence and cleverness has served as a crime deterrent, so give the more resources so that eventually all the boxes are zero …
UOPD regularly patrols off campus. On any one day, I will see many UOPD SUV’s driving around off campus, and zero UOPD officers walking anywhere on campus.
Rousting homeless people and people “using drugs” off campus doesn’t make me feel any safer on campus.
Hmm. I wonder how many of the “incidents” are on UO campus property…