go there, spend some time there, become educated. As of yesterday, the latest statistics showed a mortality rate in South Korea (based on hundreds of cases) of about 0.5% (meaning 99.5 % of diagnosed patients recovered).
The Seattle are is on super high alert for obvious reasons and I suspect that if things don’t improve in the next few weeks, the Seattle Mariners won’t be allowed to have fans. Three days ago the governor discourage the attendance of “large” public events.
Also, a major new diagnostic was discovered by a team at Mt. Sinai Hospital in NYC and it looks quite promising as a definitive diagnostic
To be clear: South Korea’s CSR does NOT mean that 99.5% of diagnosed patients recovered. It means that 99.5% of patients haven’t died *yet.* Many of them are likely to recover. But some more will also die.
This illness lasts a while.
Dog
03/06/2020
I am responsible for the previous post. As a “service” I am likely to provide actual data to this blog to give readers a more objective view of the situation. I think Trump today claimed that “we met it, we beat it” or some such shit …
charlie
03/06/2020
Coming to a flagship near you!!
Fishwrapper
03/06/2020
UO might do so, too…
zach
03/06/2020
UO does not value human life….Stay the course Ducks…Johnson Hall acts like captain BLY….bricks and mortar till the end !
Observer
03/06/2020
Even 0.5% is five times the death rate of the flu. But other reports put out by WHO estimate a death rate of 3.4%. Furthermore, 5-10% of cases seem to need intensive care, involving ventilators and comas. When these are occupied, the death rate will soar from those who can’t get the healthcare they need. I think UW is wise to be cautious, and I hope the UO will be similarly cautious. Today’s call of a big meeting to inform people how it’s being handled doesn’t seem like a step in the right direction of limiting public gatherings and opportunities for exposure…
Dog
03/07/2020
yes the data shows high regional variance in terms of death rates; the issue of national hospital preparedness in the USA is quite real and shows we are pretty underprepared nationally, but some regional scales might fare better than others.
Dog
03/07/2020
and yesteday the NCAA mens basketball game in the first round of the Division III tournament game (played in Baltimore) was announced to be played without fans – this is the first one, I suspect more will follow
Dog
03/11/2020
Just a heads up – pollen season erupted last Thursday (3/5) in case any of you are feeling small “flu” like symptoms – it may be allergy triggered, that is certainly my case right now …
Dog
03/11/2020
1. Seattle Public Schools close tomorrow (3/12) for 2 weeks
2. All elderly care facilities in Puget Sound Area are now on quarantine/lockdown
3. NCAA just announced no fans for March Madness games – men and women’s games
Likely the best source for real information and real data on this whole outbreak is at
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports/
go there, spend some time there, become educated. As of yesterday, the latest statistics showed a mortality rate in South Korea (based on hundreds of cases) of about 0.5% (meaning 99.5 % of diagnosed patients recovered).
The Seattle are is on super high alert for obvious reasons and I suspect that if things don’t improve in the next few weeks, the Seattle Mariners won’t be allowed to have fans. Three days ago the governor discourage the attendance of “large” public events.
Also, a major new diagnostic was discovered by a team at Mt. Sinai Hospital in NYC and it looks quite promising as a definitive diagnostic
https://www.managedhealthcareexecutive.com/news/ct-scans-lung-may-help-coronavirus-diagnosis
To be clear: South Korea’s CSR does NOT mean that 99.5% of diagnosed patients recovered. It means that 99.5% of patients haven’t died *yet.* Many of them are likely to recover. But some more will also die.
This illness lasts a while.
I am responsible for the previous post. As a “service” I am likely to provide actual data to this blog to give readers a more objective view of the situation. I think Trump today claimed that “we met it, we beat it” or some such shit …
Coming to a flagship near you!!
UO might do so, too…
UO does not value human life….Stay the course Ducks…Johnson Hall acts like captain BLY….bricks and mortar till the end !
Even 0.5% is five times the death rate of the flu. But other reports put out by WHO estimate a death rate of 3.4%. Furthermore, 5-10% of cases seem to need intensive care, involving ventilators and comas. When these are occupied, the death rate will soar from those who can’t get the healthcare they need. I think UW is wise to be cautious, and I hope the UO will be similarly cautious. Today’s call of a big meeting to inform people how it’s being handled doesn’t seem like a step in the right direction of limiting public gatherings and opportunities for exposure…
yes the data shows high regional variance in terms of death rates; the issue of national hospital preparedness in the USA is quite real and shows we are pretty underprepared nationally, but some regional scales might fare better than others.
and yesteday the NCAA mens basketball game in the first round of the Division III tournament game (played in Baltimore) was announced to be played without fans – this is the first one, I suspect more will follow
Just a heads up – pollen season erupted last Thursday (3/5) in case any of you are feeling small “flu” like symptoms – it may be allergy triggered, that is certainly my case right now …
1. Seattle Public Schools close tomorrow (3/12) for 2 weeks
2. All elderly care facilities in Puget Sound Area are now on quarantine/lockdown
3. NCAA just announced no fans for March Madness games – men and women’s games